AI in LCA — Research Terminal
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LIVE DATA
LIVE RESEARCH RESULTS · SEPTEMBER 2026

AI IN LIFE
CYCLE ASSESSMENT

RAJ TEJPAL KHATIK·5755288·MSc APPLIED AI·UNIVERSITY OF WARWICK · WMG
ecoinvent activity
records analysed
academic papers
screened (PRISMA)
LLMs directly
benchmarked
max accuracy
collapse discovered
Methodology

Research Pipeline — From Raw Data to Statistical Evidence

🌍
Data Collection
ecoinvent 3.11
25,412 records
→
⚙️
Preprocessing
Feature engineering
NLP encoding
→
🔵
Clustering
KMeans · Agglom.
DBSCAN · k=8
→
🔍
Anomaly Detect.
Isolation Forest
Local Outlier Factor
→
🤖
LLM Benchmark
6 models · 2 task
types · n=250
→
📊
Statistical Tests
Cochran's Q
McNemar · Bonferroni
→
✅
Results
Validated findings
p < 0.001
Objective 3

LLM Benchmarking — The Accuracy Illusion Exposed

THE ACCURACY COLLAPSE
// ALL MODELS NEAR-PERFECT · THEN WE RAISED THE DIFFICULTY //
● Task 1a — Templated (n=200) ● Task 1b — Paraphrased (n=50)
⚠ ANOMALY DETECTED — Investigating results...
3/6perfect structural completeness on ISO 14044 Goal & Scope
9/10Claude Haiku 4.5 comparative assertions — best across all models
p<0.001Cochran's Q confirms statistically significant differences
−65 ppGPT-4o-mini: maximum accuracy collapse discovered
STRUCTURAL COMPLETENESS
COMPARATIVE ASSERTIONS (/ 10)
Claude Haiku 4.5 led Task 2 overall (9/10 assertions) despite ranking 3rd on Task 1b — distinct capability profiles across task types.
Explorer

What If? — Accuracy vs. Task Difficulty

EASY
HARD
0%
Rankings

Live Leaderboard — Watch Rankings Reshape

Battle Mode

Head-to-Head — Pick Any Two Models & Fight

VS
Collapse Map

Easy vs Hard — The Accuracy Collapse Visualised

Statistics

Pairwise Statistical Significance — McNemar Test

McNemar's test on pairwise model disagreements (hard task, n=50). Green = significant difference (p<0.05)  ·  Red = not significant. Hover each cell for exact p-value.
p < 0.001 — highly significant
p < 0.01 — significant
p < 0.05 — marginally significant
p ≥ 0.05 — not significant
PRISMA Clusters

Research Landscape — 8 Thematic Clusters from 209 Papers

Objective 2

Unsupervised ML on 25,412 ecoinvent Records

DBSCAN best silhouette (0.792) via noise identification. K-Means and Agglomerative independently converged on k=8 clusters. Three methods triangulate a validated partition.
0Isolation
Forest
∩0shared
0Local
Outlier Factor
Jaccard Similarity = 0.001
Root cause: 23.2% exact-duplicate feature vectors corrupted LOF's density landscape. Confirmed high-impact outliers: aviation and land-use change processes.
Objective 1

Landscape of AI in LCA Research & Commercial Software

0
papers identified (database search)
▼ title & abstract screening
0
relevant to AI-in-LCA (PRISMA screen)
▼ full-text eligibility check
0
full-text papers included
▼ Sentence-BERT + UMAP + HDBSCAN
0
thematic clusters identified
AI in LCA research concentrates overwhelmingly on LCI stage. Goal & Scope drafting and interpretation tasks remain almost entirely uncharted territory.
MakersiteAI gap-filling; automated BOM-to-database matching
SpheraPredictive matching to proprietary GaBi database
One Click LCAAI mapping of BIM/BOQ files to EPD datasets
MinviroData-driven parameterisation for geological variables
Muir AILLM-driven synthetic supply-chain deconstruction
CarbonCloudAI classification for agricultural supply chains
WatershedSpend-based emissions estimation & integration
TerrascopeAutomated Scope 3 calculation and reporting
Publications

Research Output

SSRN Preprint
Understanding the Role of Artificial Intelligence in Life Cycle Assessment
Coming Soon
A preprint of the full dissertation findings will be deposited to SSRN once grading is complete. Will include all three objectives, statistical results, and LLM benchmark data.
Full Dissertation Report
MSc Dissertation — University of Warwick, WMG · September 2026
Coming Soon
The complete dissertation document (approx. 20,000 words) covering PRISMA review, ecoinvent ML analysis, and LLM benchmarking with McNemar statistical tests.
Journal / Conference Paper
AI-Driven Goal & Scope Drafting in LCA: A Benchmarking Study of Large Language Models
Coming Soon
A condensed peer-review submission targeting the accuracy collapse finding and McNemar significance results across six frontier LLMs. Venue TBD post-result.
"

Central methodological principle · Raj Khatik (2026), §1.4 · Demonstrated across Objectives 2 and 3